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Latest economics
Australia and NZ Weekly 15 December 2025
Friday edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases.
Australia and NZ Weekly 8 December 2025
Monday re-issue edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases.
Australia and NZ Weekly 8 December 2025
Friday edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases.
Thought leadership
Get ready for Payday Super
The countdown is on for Payday Super and it’s time for super funds and employers to upgrade processes and prepare for the real-time regime. Here’s what you need to know.
The superannuation power shift
Are super funds becoming the new private capital?
Sustainability Impact: What you need to know – October/November 2025
The latest edition of Sustainability Impact considers some of the likely outcomes from the Solar Sharer electricity offer, what happened at COP30, new moves on Nature from the ISSB, plus an eye-opening paper on refrigerants, and more.
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Financial markets strategy
A perky Australian dollar settles above 0.66
A perky Australian dollar is trading Monday afternoon at 0.6645 and at this point it looks like closing in on its 11th daily gain in 12, a feat not achieved for quite a few years. A confident AUD dollar looks forward to this Tuesday’s RBA meeting which is expected to strike a slightly more hawkish tone, a Fed rate cut on Wednesday night and local jobs data on Thursday.
The Australian dollar stakes its claim on higher levels
The Australian dollar rebounded from its oversold levels last week, boosted by strong Oct. CPI and CAPEX figures. Subsiding angst around AI valuations, and a dovish Williams resuscitating Dec. Fed rate cut expectations, aided some recovery across equities. However, a relatively hawkish cut by the RBNZ took markets by surprise, with NZD rallying more than 1% on the day. After rallying more than a cent last week, AUD starts the week at 0.6540 and in fighting form. The week ahead is headlined by Aussie Q3 GDP, US core PCE for Sept. and global PMIs.
Rough sledding pushes the Australian dollar to 3 month lows
AI valuation angst and see-sawing Fed rate cut chances made for a messy week for global markets. The Australian dollar felt the blowback and traded to 3 month lows of 0.6421 before the NY Fed's Williams injected dovish hope into Dec. Fed meeting expectations. The week ahead features Australia's first complete monthly CPI, construction work done, private CAPEX and delayed US CPI and PPI data. Markets and Fed officials will also be pouring over the Beige Book. The RBNZ is expected to cut rates by 25bp.
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