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Latest economics

Australia and NZ Weekly 24 August 2026

August 21 2026 10 mins

Friday edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases.

AI-related investment and US fiscal incontinence add to the existing tendency for the global rates structure to average higher than pre-pandemic. Expect more US government action to contain debt-servicing costs.

Australia and NZ Weekly 17 August 2026

August 17 2026 10 mins

Monday re-issue edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases.

Thought leadership

As Australian consumers and businesses become increasingly connected to the global economy, advances in data, technology and customer insights are reshaping foreign exchange. The result is a more relevant customer experience and, ultimately, greater confidence when transacting across borders.

Welcome to our Q2 2026 Sustainable Finance Market Update, which also includes a two-minute video highlighting key developments across the sustainable finance landscape. In this edition, we review first-half market activity, highlight notable sustainable finance transactions and explore how sustainability-linked and use-of-proceeds financing are supporting the continued evolution of Australia's Living sector. We also reflect on a quarter that saw the Federal Budget handed down and important regulatory and policy developments for the sustainable finance market.

Digital money’s next frontier

July 27 2026 7 mins

The movement of digital money across the world is rapidly changing the shape of business and banking.

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Financial markets strategy

The Australian dollar got everything it needed last week to sustain this low key uptrend into a 7th week: a hawkish RBA (albeit in messaging, less so in their forecasts), softer US July inflation data damping Fed hike expectations, and swirling questions about whether long term US Treasuries are "money good". Locally, there's plenty to animate the Australian dollar this week: July labour force, Q2 Wage Price Index, Westpac Consumer Confidence and remarks from RBA Deputy Governor Hauser.

The Australian dollar easily shook off some early softness down to 0.6980 last week, before pushing to a 7wk high of 0.7078 following a weaker-than-expected US jobs report. The Australian dollar starts the week inside what is now a well-defined, moderately rising channel (≈US1.1c wide). The RBA (Tue) and Gov. Bullock testimony (Friday) lead the local calendar this week. Globally we are watching US July CPI & PPI and Fedspeak.

The Australian dollar got what it needed last week - a strong jobs report - but not even a domestically sourced bullish catalyst could help it lock down a 0.70-handle. Rising US bond yields and escalating US-Iran hostilities made it difficult to hold gains. There's something about the 0.7000 level. The Australian dollar is magnetised to it and starts a potentially pivotal and decisive week hugging this level again. Q2 inflation data, RBA Governor Michele Bullock and Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter lead the local calendar. Globally, attention will turn to policy meetings from the US Fed, BoE and BoJ.

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